Sources and definitions

The evidence behind the figures.

The homepage brings together research on disruption costs, operating consequences, exposure, and preparedness. Each figure has its own population, period, and definition.

$1.6 trillion in missed annual revenue growth

Accenture estimated that companies missed $1.6 trillion in additional annual revenues in 2021 and 2022 when engineering, supply, production, or operations were disrupted. This measures missed revenue opportunities, not recorded accounting losses, a current annual total, or an amount CrisisFlow could have prevented.

The research discusses geopolitical unrest, extreme weather, pandemic disruption, technological change, and shortages. It does not isolate the full estimate as caused exclusively by external natural and manmade shocks.

The underlying survey covered 1,230 senior executives across 11 industries and 14 countries in January–March 2023. These are broad industrial findings, not an estimate specific to CrisisFlow’s target customer segment.

Accenture, October 26, 2023 · Resiliency in the making, full report

Nearly one in three manufacturers reported canceled orders

In the National Association of Manufacturers’ second-quarter 2025 survey, 29.55% reported customers canceling orders following recent tariff-rate changes. Separately, 28.87% reported slowing or shutting down production. “A similar share” refers to that second result.

The survey collected 299 responses from U.S. manufacturers during May 8–27, 2025. Question 17 allowed multiple answers, so the two percentages cannot be added or treated as a combined share of firms. These are shares of manufacturers reporting effects, not shares of orders canceled or output lost.

NAM Manufacturers’ Outlook Survey, Q2 2025, question 17

25× natural-disaster exposure

The homepage comparison concerns the likelihood of an international firm being affected by a natural disaster relative to the average international firm 25 years earlier. It is a historical exposure comparison, not a geopolitical-shock count, a measure of loss severity, or a forecast.

Ballesteros and Magelssen, Organization Science (2022)

78% needed at least another week to understand the impact

Accenture’s 2023 research reports the time needed to understand a disruption’s impact after being alerted. It is an assessment delay, not the time to detect a disruption or restore operations, and it is not a CrisisFlow performance claim.

This finding comes from the same cross-industry survey of 1,230 senior executives described above.

Accenture, October 26, 2023 · Full report, assessment-delay discussion

82% recognized geopolitical risk; 25% felt very prepared for trade-policy changes

DP World reported that 82% of leaders rated geopolitical events a moderate-to-significant supply-chain risk. In a separate question, 25% said they were very prepared for trade-policy changes or new tariffs.

The 2025 survey covered 152 North American operations, supply-chain, and IT professionals. The percentages answer different questions. The preparedness result is exactly 25%, not fewer than 25%, and concerns trade policy and tariffs rather than every kind of geopolitical disruption.

DP World, November 4, 2025

The port-disruption case and budget comparison

The case combines the historical Hurricane Beryl disruption with an illustrative company network. Its results are scenario estimates, not realized customer outcomes. Visitors can change the displayed planning assumptions and budget to compare operational and financial consequences.

Order value delayed beyond the 30-day planning horizon is not necessarily permanently lost revenue. Response spending, delayed order value, and gross-margin exposure are distinct measures and should not be added together as a benefit estimate.

Inspect the case and its inputs · Interpret the case measures